The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting held on 6th August 2025, kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.50%, marking the second straight pause after cutting rates earlier this year.
This decision reflects RBI’s cautious approach as it monitors inflation trends, economic growth momentum, and global uncertainties.
Source: RBI Press Release
| Key Parameter | June 2025 | August 2025 (Latest) |
|---|---|---|
| Repo Rate | 5.50% | 5.50% (Unchanged) |
| Inflation Projection FY26 | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| GDP Forecast FY26 | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| Policy Stance | Cautious | Cautious |
| MPC Vote | 5-1 | 6-0 |
RBI trimmed its GDP growth projection for FY26 from 6.8% to 6.7%, citing soft private consumption and exports.
However, inflation outlook continues to improve:
Markets were pricing in a pause - so this decision is already digested. Focus now shifts to August CPI print and potential global shocks (like oil prices, Fed decisions, and geopolitical risks).
| If you are... | Action to Consider |
|---|---|
| A borrower | Check if your loan is repo-linked. Don’t expect immediate drop. Stay tuned. |
| A saver (FD) | Ladder FDs or lock into 1–2 year rates if attractive. Avoid very long-term FDs. |
| A debt mutual fund investor | Prefer short-term or roll-down funds. Avoid riskier credit bets for now. |
| An equity investor | Remain diversified. Don't expect policy-driven rallies immediately. |
The RBI’s stance is not hawkish, but patient. Policymakers want more clarity on inflation and global trends before taking further steps.
If the current disinflation trend continues, another rate cut before 2025-end is not off the table.
Until then, savers and borrowers should plan assuming stable rates - with a slight downward bias.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult your advisor before making investment or borrowing decisions based on policy updates.
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