Fractal Analytics IPO Review 2026: Business Model, Financials, GMP, Valuations, Risks & Key Facts

Fractal Analytics IPO review covering business model, financials, valuation, GMP, use of proceeds, risks, and who this AI-led company may suit. A neutral, data-backed analysis for retail investors.
February 06, 2026
7 min read
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Fractal Analytics IPO Review 2026: Business Model, Financials, AI Reality, Risks, and Who It Suits

Artificial Intelligence has moved from boardroom slides to real budgets. Global enterprises are no longer asking if they should use AI, but where it actually delivers outcomes.

Against this backdrop, enters the public markets. Unlike consumer-facing AI stories or pure software platforms, Fractal sits in a quieter but critical space: helping large enterprises use data and AI to make better decisions.

This IPO review looks past the AI buzzwords and focuses on how Fractal really makes money, what the numbers say, and where the long-term execution risks lie - to help investors assess whether this kind of enterprise AI business fits their portfolio approach.



IPO Snapshot

Company NameFractal Analytics Limited
Issue TypeBookbuilding IPO
IPO StructureFresh Issue + Offer for Sale
Issue Size~₹2,834 Cr
Fresh Issue~₹1,023 Cr
Offer for Sale~₹1,810 Cr
Face Value₹1 per share
Price Band₹857 to ₹900
Lot Size16 shares
Listing ExchangesBSE, NSE
IPO OpensMon, Feb 9, 2026
IPO ClosesWed, Feb 11, 2026
Listing Date (Tentative)Mon, Feb 16, 2026
Market Cap (Pre-IPO)~₹15,474 Cr

IPO Reservation

QIB Shares Offered Not less than 75% of the Net Offer
Retail Shares Offered Not more than 10% of the Net Offer
NII Shares Offered Not more than 15% of the Net Offer

IPO Lot Size

Application Lots Shares Amount (₹)
Retail (Minimum) 1 16 14,400
Retail (Maximum) 13 208 1,87,200
S-HNI (Minimum) 14 224 2,01,600
S-HNI (Maximum) 69 1,104 9,93,600
B-HNI (Minimum) 70 1,120 10,08,000

IPO GMP Snapshot

Stock / IPOIPO GMPIPO PriceIndicative Listing Gain*
Fractal Analytics₹57₹900~6.3%

Note: Grey Market Premium (GMP) is an unofficial indicator driven by short-term sentiment. It does not reflect business quality, execution capability, or long-term return potential - especially for enterprise technology companies.


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IPO Timeline

IPO OpensMon, Feb 9, 2026
IPO ClosesWed, Feb 11, 2026
AllotmentThu, Feb 12, 2026
RefundsFri, Feb 13, 2026
Credit of SharesFri, Feb 13, 2026
ListingMon, Feb 16, 2026

About Fractal Analytics

Founded in 2000, Fractal Analytics is a global enterprise AI and analytics firm. It works with large corporations to embed data science and AI into decision-making across functions such as marketing, supply chain, risk, and customer experience.

As of September 2025, Fractal operates through two broad segments:

  • Fractal.ai – AI services and products, including its agentic AI platform Cogentiq
  • Fractal Alpha – Growth-oriented AI businesses and innovation-led offerings

Its client base includes global enterprises such as Citibank, Costco, Mars, Mondelez, Nestlé, Philips, and Franklin Templeton.


Business Model Explained

Fractal is not a consumer AI platform or a pure software-as-a-service company.

It primarily earns revenue by:

  • Providing AI and analytics services to enterprises
  • Building customized data science solutions
  • Embedding AI tools within client workflows

Key characteristics of the model:

Client typeLarge global enterprises
Revenue natureProject-based + long-term engagements
Pricing powerModerate, skill-driven
Cost driversTalent, R&D, delivery execution
ScalabilityImproves with platforms, limited by people

This makes execution quality, talent retention, and client stickiness more important than brand or hype.


Industry Context: Enterprise AI Is Growing, But Not Linear

Enterprise spending on AI and analytics is expanding as companies seek efficiency, personalization, and automation.

At the same time:

  • AI adoption cycles are uneven
  • Budgets are scrutinized for ROI
  • Projects can be delayed or scaled down

This creates a large opportunity, but also means growth is rarely smooth. AI services businesses often see variability in margins and revenue depending on client spending cycles.


Financial Performance (Consolidated)

Amount in ₹ Crore

Period Ended30 Sep 202531 Mar 202531 Mar 202431 Mar 2023
Total Income1,594.302,816.202,241.902,043.70
Assets2,965.402,857.602,392.002,248.70
EBITDA185.60398.0097.20436.80
Profit After Tax70.90220.60-54.70194.40
Net Worth1,957.501,748.301,397.001,339.20
Reserves and Surplus1,937.101,728.701,380.501,323.10
Total Borrowing274.60266.20250.10325.60

What stands out:

  • Revenue growth over the medium term
  • Profitability has been volatile
  • FY24 saw losses, followed by recovery in FY25
  • Net worth has steadily strengthened

Key Performance Indicators

RoNW12.6%
PAT Margin8.0%
EBITDA Margin14.4%
Price to Book8.65

Valuation Snapshot: What the Numbers Are Telling Us

Fractal Analytics is entering the public markets at a valuation that reflects its positioning as a global AI and analytics services firm rather than a traditional IT services company.

At the upper end of the price band, the IPO values the company at a pre-IPO market capitalisation of around ₹15,473.60 crore.

Given the company’s business model, valuation needs to be read alongside three factors:

  • Its transition from analytics-led services to AI-led platforms
  • Improving profitability after a loss-making phase
  • Limited availability of directly comparable listed peers in India
Metric Pre-IPO Post-IPO
EPS (₹) 13.74 8.25
P/E (x) 65.5 109.12
Promoter Holding 18.19%
Market Capitalisation ₹15,473.60 crore

Post-IPO EPS is calculated based on the expanded equity base after the fresh issue.

How to interpret this:

  • The valuation embeds expectations of sustained growth in AI-led revenues
  • P/E multiples appear elevated when viewed through traditional services-company lenses
  • The pricing assumes continued margin improvement rather than one-off earnings spikes

In the absence of clean listed peers with a similar AI-services mix, this IPO is likely to be benchmarked more on growth consistency and execution quality than on near-term valuation comfort.


Use of IPO Proceeds

The fresh issue proceeds are primarily directed towards:

  • Debt repayment at Fractal USA
  • Investment in R&D and sales under Fractal Alpha
  • Operational expansion and infrastructure
  • Inorganic growth opportunities

The clear lens here is balance sheet strengthening combined with growth investment.


Key Strengths

  • Two-decade track record in analytics
  • Strong global enterprise client base
  • Deep domain and technical expertise
  • AI capabilities beyond marketing narratives

Key Risks

  • Dependence on enterprise IT spending cycles
  • Margin pressure from talent costs
  • Execution risk in scaling AI platforms
  • Competitive global AI services landscape

Who This IPO May Suit

This IPO may align better with investors who:

  • Understand enterprise technology businesses
  • Are comfortable with earnings variability
  • Prefer long-term execution stories over short-term themes

It may be less suitable for those expecting predictable margins or quick monetization from AI adoption.


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Final View

The Fractal Analytics IPO offers exposure to the enterprise side of AI - a space with real demand, but also real execution challenges.

Long-term outcomes will depend on:

  • Client retention and expansion
  • Margin discipline
  • Ability to productize AI offerings

The key question remains:

Does an execution-driven enterprise AI business fit your portfolio approach and risk tolerance?


Disclaimer: This article is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Investors should read the Red Herring Prospectus carefully and consult a registered financial adviser before making any investment decision.


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Published At: Feb 06, 2026 12:24 pm
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