Finnovate Weekly Capsule (Sept 08–Sept 12, 2025)

Here is your crisp financial briefing for the week ending September 12, 2025. Let’s break down the key headlines that moved the economy and markets - and understand what they mean for your money decisions.

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1. India CPI inflation for August 2025 moves higher to 2.07% yoy

Impact Analysis

• The reading is 46 bps above July’s revised 1.61% CPI print.
• Food inflation, though still negative, rose to -0.69% from -1.76%.

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2. Specific items in the India inflation basket have spiked sharply in August

Impact Analysis

• Oil & fats inflation at 21.2% and fruits at 11.7% led the surge.
• Gold spike pushed personal care inflation to 16.6% under core CPI.

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3. US consumer inflation for August 2025 spiked to 2.9% on global tariff impact

Impact Analysis

• Core inflation stood at 3.1%; MOM inflation rose 20 bps to 0.4%.
• Despite higher inflation, Fedwatch shows 100% odds of 25 bps rate cut.

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4. Income Tax portal overwhelmed by last-minute rush

Impact Analysis

• Millions of returns still pending as 15-Sep deadline nears.
• 45-day extension may not suffice; potential for another extension.

5. Gold prices in India touch a record high of ₹1,10,000 per 10g (24K)

Impact Analysis

• Driven by global prices at $3,675/oz amid de-dollarization trends.
• Rupee weakness added pressure, as gold is a natural hedge.

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6. USDINR closes above ₹88/$ in 8 of last 10 sessions

Impact Analysis

• At ₹88.26/$, rupee weak despite soft dollar index.
• Bank-led dollar demand to cover open positions worsened weakness.

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7. OPEC hikes oil supply amid strong global demand

Impact Analysis

• Brent remained stable near $67/bbl despite OPEC supply surge.
• US inventory build-up; Russia’s role to influence next price moves.

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8. Infosys announces ₹18,000 crore share buyback at ₹1,800 per share

Impact Analysis

• Buyback size is double of 2022 round; 19% premium to CMP of ₹1,509.
• Backed by healthy cash reserves and focus on shareholder returns.

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9. SEBI eases public holding norms for large-cap companies

Impact Analysis

• Companies with ₹1 lakh+ crore market cap get 5 years to reach 15% public holding.
• If already at 15% on IPO, another 5 years granted to reach 25%.

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10. SEBI increases IPO anchor quota for insurers and pension funds

Impact Analysis

• Anchor quota raised from 33% to 40% for insurers/pension funds.
• Aids IPO momentum amid falling FPI participation.

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11. Zupee lays off 30% staff amid new gaming law

Impact Analysis

• Pivoting to social and cultural games to reduce cash burn.
• Real-money gaming ban forces strategic overhaul.

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12. India adds 11 new unicorns in 2025: Hurun India report

Impact Analysis

• Names include AI.Tech, Navi, Rapido, Moneyview, Darwinbox, and more.
• Zerodha and Groww continue to lead in valuation.

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13. RBI may allow lenders to lock defaulters’ mobile phones remotely

Impact Analysis

• Designed to reduce bad debts and improve recovery rate.
• Raises privacy and legal concerns about third-party access to devices.

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14. Amazon expands quick commerce service to Mumbai

Impact Analysis

• Joins Zomato and Swiggy in urban 10-minute delivery race.
• Q-commerce is expected to intensify in metros like Mumbai and Bengaluru.

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15. India’s forex reserves rise by $4 billion to $698 billion

Impact Analysis

• Driven by rising gold value and less RBI intervention in forex markets.
• Gold’s global rally has boosted overall reserves valuation.

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16. Larry Ellison overtakes Elon Musk as world’s richest man

Impact Analysis

• Oracle’s stock rose 35% in a single day; Ellison owns 41% stake.
• Valuation surge added $101 billion to his net worth in one day.

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17. Tata Capital IPO likely in October 2025; plans to raise $2 billion

Impact Analysis

• Valuation pegged at $18 billion to meet RBI’s NBFC listing rules.
• IPO expected before Sept-end deadline; DRHP already filed.

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18. Jefferies bullish on upcoming ₹2,200 crore Lenskart IPO

Impact Analysis

• Lenskart’s omnichannel strategy and market potential are key positives.
• India’s $9B eyewear market is largely unorganized, offering runway.

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19. Crude imports from Russia rise to 1.87 million bpd in September

Impact Analysis

• Up from 1.66 million bpd in August; shows Russia’s supply dominance.
• Tariff impact will reflect only after 7–8 weeks.

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20. DOT questions Jio and Airtel over sudden removal of 1GB/day plans

Impact Analysis

• Concerns over predatory pricing; Jio and Airtel control 75% market share.
• TRAI may intervene if customer interest is compromised.

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21. Sunil Mittal’s family office walks out of Haier India stake deal

Impact Analysis

• Valuation disagreement: Haier expected ₹8,379 crore, Mittals capped at ₹5,280 crore.
• Talks collapsed; no further deal expected in near term.

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What should you do now?

Stay mindful of inflation trends (both in India and globally), rising gold prices, and upcoming IPOs like Tata Capital and Lenskart. These developments could influence your portfolio allocation, tax planning, and hedging strategies in the coming weeks.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or product recommendations. Please consult a registered advisor before making investment decisions.